What’s Trump’s long-term plan?

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In the headlines

Keir Starmer says Europe must do the “heavy lifting” to end the war in Ukraine, following yesterday’s summit in London, and has urged other leaders to join a “coalition of the willing”. Volodymyr Zelensky praised Europe’s “unity” after the talks, though Starmer has already distanced himself from Emmanuel Macron’s claim that the UK and France backed a truce in Ukraine. Ministers have outlined plans to overhaul the centuries-old leasehold system in England and Wales, potentially banning all new leasehold developments. The government wants a “commonhold” system instead, where all homeowners own a share of the building they live in. Anora was the big winner at last night’s Oscars, taking home five awards. The film about a sex worker who marries the son of a Russian oligarch won Best Picture, Best Director for Sean Baker, and Best Actress for Mikey Madison. Adrien Brody scooped up the Best Actor prize for the architectural epic The Brutalist.

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Comment

Zelensky and Trump in the Oval Office on Friday. Andrew Harnik/Getty

What’s Trump’s long-term plan?

The most generous interpretation of Friday’s Oval Office showdown, says Ross Douthat in The New York Times, is that Donald Trump and JD Vance are “stripping away” America’s foreign policy illusions. Like the idea that the US can still play the “hegemonic role” it played 20 years ago, when in fact we need to recalibrate to a more multipolar world that requires making deals with unpleasant regimes such as Russia. Or the idea that our European allies are “equal partners” in safeguarding global security, when in fact their military capacity has completely atrophied. Trump’s predecessors understood much of this. That’s why Barack Obama sought a “pivot to Asia”, and why Joe Biden pulled out of Afghanistan and offered only limited support to Ukraine. And there is value in speaking openly about “uncomfortable realities”: people need to know “the world is not what it was in 2000 or 2012”.

It’s “bewildering” to see Trump’s allies defending this debacle, says The Wall Street Journal. Granted, President Zelensky probably “would have been wiser” just to thank the US again and defer to his angry American hosts. “There’s little benefit in trying to correct the historical record in front of Mr Trump when you’re also seeking his help.” But what’s Trump’s long-term plan here? There are plenty who think he is moving us back to an era of “great power competition”: let China dominate the Pacific, Russia dominate Europe, and the US the Americas. The consequences of that would be catastrophic for Washington. Allies would seek new trading and security relationships that don’t rely on the US. Japan and others threatened by China and Russia would have “little choice” but to become nuclear powers. If Trump really is “stripping away” the old world order, he should at least be honest about “what new order he thinks he is building”.

Noted

Richard Harbaugh/The Academy

If you’ve ever wondered how the audience at the Oscars all manage to sit in their seats for the entire three-and-a-half-hour broadcast, says Marina Hyde on The Rest is Entertainment, the truth is that they don’t. The organisers don’t want any empty seats on show, so they employ around 300 “seat-fillers” to jump in when someone nips out to the loo or whatever. If you’re one of these substitute celebs you obviously have to look the part – wearing black tie or a gown – and, this being Hollywood, “you’re not allowed to speak unless you’re spoken to”.

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