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Did furlough ruin the economy?
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In the headlines
The UN security council will vote today on a draft US resolution calling for an immediate ceasefire in Gaza, as Israel makes plans for a ground offensive on Rafah. The proposal, which is tied to the release of hostages held by Hamas, marks the first time the Biden administration has supported calls for an âimmediateâ stop to fighting. Beijing could cause gridlock on British roads by remotely stopping Chinese-made electric vehicles, MPs have been told in a review of UK economic security. Jim Saker, head of the Institute of the Motor Industry, also warned that Chinese EVs could be used to steal sensitive data from motorists. German scientists have worked out why teenagers stink, says The Guardian. As a result of changes in puberty, their sweat contains high levels of chemicals that smell of urine, goats and cheese. đ§đ
Comment
Rishi Sunak and Boris Johnson announcing the furlough scheme. Julian Simmonds/Pool/AFP/Getty
Did furlough ruin the economy?
The night before he announced furlough, four years ago this week, Rishi Sunak âdidnât sleepâ, says Fraser Nelson in The Daily Telegraph. The then chancellor felt physically sick at the sheer scale of his gamble. Would paying 80% of employeesâ wages save millions of jobs, or would it create welfare dependency, making things worse long-term? Would it just âprop up jobs that were never coming backâ, costing a fortune merely to delay economic rejuvenation? âThe test, as he knew, would come years later.â And it turns out he was right to worry. Furlough has been a catastrophe: Britain is one of the few countries whose workforce is still smaller than it was before the pandemic.
The Bank for International Settlements has found that, worldwide, in countries with more generous furlough arrangements, employment is recovering more slowly. It has also noted an âapparent change in the attitude towards work and the way we think about workâ. In Britain, lockdown was followed by an acute âworker shortage crisisâ. But at the same time, the proportion claiming unemployment benefits in our cities rose to levels comparable to the 2008 crash or 1992 recession. In Blackpool, 25% are officially out of work; in Middlesborough itâs 22%, Liverpool 20%. These cities are âteeming with jobsâ â to have so many idle is an âeconomic and social scandalâ. Itâs no surprise that furlough was hugely popular when it was first announced, but a worried Sunak told aides at the time: âLetâs see how these polls look when they get the bill for all this.â As so often, he was âright first timeâ.
đšđ»ââïžđ° The bigger problem is people saying theyâre âtoo sick to workâ. Five years ago, two million were in this category. Today itâs 2.7 million â the equivalent to losing the entire working-age population of Birmingham. Mel Stride, the Work and Pensions Secretary, recently explained how it works, âor doesnâtâ. Patients go to the doctor and say, âIâm feeling rather downâ. After an appointment lasting âon average about seven minutesâ, the doctor then, in 94% of cases, signs them off as ânot fit to carry out any work whatsoeverâ.
Can Benjamin Netanyahu really just go on ignoring Joe Biden? Why wonât tech bosses let their children anywhere near a screen? Why was Amber Heard subjected to such a vicious campaign of online abuse? Youâll find the answers, plus reviews of the best new books and TV shows, in The Knowledge Premium â click here to go to the homepage.
The great escape
The small town of Casey, Illinois has an unusual tourist attraction, says Thrillist: its collection of the âWorldâs Largestâ things. The 12 super-sized sculptures include a building-sized wind chime; a 45ft golf driver; a rocking chair big enough to be an outdoor event venue; and a âmailbox larger than most Manhattan apartmentsâ.
Inside politics
A massive majority wouldnât ânecessarily be a blessingâ for Keir Starmer, says Sam Freedman on Substack. One of the best tools a prime minister has to maintain party unity is âpatronageâ: giving government jobs to potentially unruly MPs. But there are only a certain number of those jobs to give out, so the bigger the majority, the more âdisgruntled backbenchersâ you have. Itâs a similar problem with parliamentary votes â when thereâs no danger of losing them, MPs feel more comfortable rebelling on issues close to their hearts. Internal dissent can spread, and factions can âbuild up quicklyâ.
Love etc
Instagram/@emrata
The tricky thing about big, blingy engagement rings, says The Daily Telegraph, is what on earth do you do with them if your marriage goes south? For Emily Ratajkowski, the answer was: take it apart and turn it into two âdivorce ringsâ. The supermodel says she was inspired by a friendâs grandmother, who wore a âsnake ringâ with lots of different gems from her failed marriages. Jewellers say itâs becoming a trend in the UK too, though some divorcees worry about bad juju in the old gemstones. âIâve had clients do a lot of âwitchyâ things to them,â says jeweller Jessie Thomas, âlike boil them in milk and put them in a plant pot under the full moon.â
Comment
Protesters in the Nigerien capital, Niamey, last year. AFP/Getty
A new Cold War in Africa
Since it began in 2020, says Le Monde, the series of coups dâĂ©tat that brought anti-French military officers to power in three Sahel countries â Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger â has generally been seen as an anti-colonial project. But the âbrutal evictionâ of US soldiers from Niger last Saturday, on the orders of the ruling junta, suggests another dimension to the âwave of authoritarianismâ that has gripped the region: the return of the Cold War. The last French soldier left Niger in December, but the US had kept 1,000 troops stationed at the city of Agadez, not only to maintain the fight against jihadists, but also to stem âRussiaâs growing influenceâ.
On the latter, they have clearly failed. Last week's âslap in the face for Washingtonâ came hot on the heels of an announcement of âcloser military cooperationâ between Nigerâs rulers and Moscow. Junta General Abdourahamane Tiani recently refused to receive Americaâs Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs, but notably joined Mali and Burkina Faso in quickly congratulating Vladimir Putin for âwinningâ his sham election. Washington is also deeply concerned that Niger could now move closer to Iran, motivated by Nigerien uranium deposits and the Islamic Republicâs nuclear ambitions. Just as it was between the 1960s and the 1990s, after decolonisation, Africa is once again a âbattleground for proxy confrontations between the East and Westâ.
Gone viral
If you think you know your movies, says Popbitch, try MovieGrid. You start with a blank grid of nine squares. Each row and column denotes either an actor, a director, or a type of film â genre, number of words in the title, and so on. The aim is to fill in each square so that it matches both criteria. Give it a go here.
Food and drink
When I was a diplomat, says Jeremy Dicker in International Intrigue, I used to love working with the Japanese. Their ambassadors often brought a chef with them from Tokyo to postings abroad. And to âkeep everyone happyâ, these chefs would cook not only Japanese fare, but also local dishes â meaning visitors were served two meals at the same time. On days involving a Japanese âworking lunchâ, I learned to skip breakfast â and often dinner too.
Snapshot
Snapshot answer
Itâs the back of the new England football shirt, featuring what Nike calls a âplayful updateâ on the St Georgeâs Cross. The sports firm claims its ÂŁ125 top will, for some reason, âunite and inspireâ. Keir Starmer is among many prominent voices calling on Nike to change the design, telling The Sun the flag is âused by everybodyâ and that âwe just need to be proud of itâ. Reform UK MP Lee Anderson predictably went one further, telling the Express: âThis virtue signalling, namby-pamby, pearl-clutching woke nonsense must stop. Any more of this and Iâll be on the first flight to Rwanda.â
Quoted
âLiterature is mostly about having sex and not much about having children. Life is the other way round.â
Novelist David Lodge